Academy Award Predictions

So, it has come to that time of year again. Last year I spent a fair bit more time pondering the predictions of the Oscars. With the annoucement of the winners of the Golden Globes, and the date of nominations looming ever so closer, I’ve decided on my final predictions for the 83rd Annual Academy Awards.

Now, last year I predicted 40 out of 45 nominees correctly, giving me a nice accuracy rating of 88%. Let’s hope this year, my odds will be beaten!


The Little Golden Man



Best Picture

The Social Network

Black Swan

127 Hours


The Kids Are All Right

True Grit

Toy Story 3

The King’s Speech

The Fighter

(I’m not great with these ten nominees, however, last year did provide three rather surprising inclusions with The Blind Side, District 9 and A Serious Man, so I’m welcoming an upset. I’d love to see Blue Valentine or Somewhere included in the list. Fingers crossed!)


Best Director

David Fincher, The Social Network

Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan

David O. Russell, The Fighter

Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech

Christopher Nolan, Inception

(This list seems fairly predictable. Perhaps the most predictable category so far. However, there could be a surprise from say Danny Boyle.)


Best Actor

Colin Firth, The King’s Speech

Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network

James Franco, 127 Hours

Ryan Gosling, Blue Valentine

Robert Duvall, Get Low

(Now, this is a category with about 6 or 7 likely candidates. It’s a lock for Eisenberg, Firth and Franco. But Gosling or Duvall could EASILY be replaced by Mark Wahlberg or Jeff Bridges.)


Best Actress

Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right

Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole

Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone

Natalie Portman, Black Swan

Hilary Swank, Conviction

(This category is a tough one for me. It seems like the Swank spot is VERY open. Michelle Williams deserves to take the spot, but Anne Hathaway could snag it, as could Julianne Moore. Maybe even Halle Berry for Frankie and Alice, but I doubt enough Academy members have seen it. Or a big surprise could be Noomi Repace for Girl with the Dragon Tattoo. They do love their foreign inclusion sometimes.)


Best Supporting Actor

Christian Bale, The Fighter

Andrew Garfield, The Social Network

Jeremy Renner, The Town

Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right

Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech

(This category is a little tricky. I’m not completely confident in Ruffalo or Garfield. John Hawkes from Winter’s Bone could pull a surprise on everyone. As could Michael Douglas for Wall Street 2. Maybe even Justin Timberlake for The Social Network. I hear he’s been campaiging!)


Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams, The Fighter

Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech

Mila Kunis, Black Swan

Melissa Leo, The Fighter

Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom

(This category is the nearest to me; due to some patriotic roots. However, I think it’s another category with 6 slots, but only enough room for 5 nominees. Weaver is very likely to be replaced by Hailee Steinfeld. Helena BC was good in King’s Speech, but not at the cost of JACKI “You’ve done some bad things, sweetie” WEAVER. Please for the love of oh merciful god let this woman be nominated. Even so just to prove that Sony Pictures Classics did a most excellent job of campaigning in the politicised event that is the Oscars…)


Best Adapted Screenplay

Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network

Danny Boyle and Simon Beaufoy, 127 Hours

Joel Coen, Ethan Coen, True Grit

Michael Arndt, etc, Toy Story 3

Debra Granik, Anne Rossellini, Winter’s Bone


Best Original Screenplay

David Seidler, The King’s Speech

Christopher Nolan, Inception

Eric Johnson, Paul Tamasay, Scott Silver, The Fighter

Lisa Cholodenko and Stuart Blumberg, The Kids Are All Right

Mark Heyman, Andres Heinz, John J. McLaughlin, Black Swan

(I’m shite at these categories, especially after the Writers Guild made so many more probably contenders, out of contention for their awards, such as Toy Story 3, Blue Valentine and more…)

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